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Showing posts with the label economic outlook 2025

How AI Is Reshaping the Global Economy | The New Intelligence Economy

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UN Pegs India’s Growth at 7.2%: Can Consumption Beat Global Trade Shocks?

India’s growth momentum remains strong as consumption and public investment counter global trade headwinds, says UN DESA.(Representing ai image) UN Pegs India’s Growth at 7.2%: Can Consumption and Public Investment Shield the Economy from Global Trade Shocks?  - Dr. Sanjaykumar Pawar Table of Contents Introduction: Why India’s Growth Outlook Matters in 2025 UN DESA’s Latest Forecast: What Exactly Was Said? India vs the World: A Comparative Growth Perspective The Growth Engines: Consumption and Public Investment U.S. Tariffs and India’s Export Exposure: A Real Risk? Manufacturing, Services, and the Supply-Side Momentum Capital Formation: Infrastructure as India’s Growth Backbone Sectoral Winners and Losers Under the New Trade Regime Comparing India and China: Diverging Economic Trajectories Role of Tax Reforms and Monetary Easing Interpreting the Data: What the Numbers Actually Tell Us Visual Explanation: Charts That Clarify India’s Growth Story Policy Challenges an...
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World Bank Raises Asia-Pacific Growth Outlook to 4.9% Despite Tariff Tensions

  Asia-Pacific’s growth outlook strengthens as World Bank raises its 2025 forecast to 4.9%, led by resilient exports and tech investments — despite rising tariff tensions.(Representing AI image) World Bank Boosts Asia-Pacific Growth Outlook — But Tariff Threats and FDI Jitters Cloud the Horizon The World Bank’s October 2025 upgrade to Asia-Pacific growth boosts investor optimism—but U.S. tariff threats, shifts in Japanese FDI, and holiday market closures add volatility. This deep-dive explains the numbers, the channels, and what investors and policymakers should watch next.  - Dr.Sanjaykumar pawar Table of contents Executive summary Why the World Bank bumped up the regional forecast — the headline numbers What’s driving the upside: exports, tech capex and regional resilience The dark side: U.S. tariff threats, FDI shifts and the Mexico story Market mechanics: how tariffs and trade uncertainty ripple through markets Data snapshot & suggested visuals (charts you sh...
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3 Key Risks That Could End the Market Rally on Fed Rate-Cut Hopes

  Markets Rally on Fed Rate-Cut Hopes: What Weak U.S. Jobs Data Really Means for Stocks, Bonds, and Your Portfolio  - Dr. Sanjay kumar pawar Weak U.S. jobs data sharpened expectations the Federal Reserve will cut rates soon—sending stocks up and bond yields down. This in-depth analysis breaks down the data, explains the market mechanics, shows where opportunities and risks lie, and answers common investor questions. Sources: BLS, Federal Reserve, CME, Reuters, Bloomberg, U.S. Treasury. Table of Contents Executive Summary What Just Happened: The Data That Moved Markets Why “Bad News” Sparked a Rally: The Rate-Cut Transmission Mechanism The Bond Market’s Signal: Yields, Term Premiums, and Duration Equities Playbook: Who Benefits—And Who Doesn’t The Dollar, Credit, and Commodities: Second-Order Effects What the Fed Has Said (and Not Said) Key Charts & Data Table Risks to the Rally: Three Things That Could Upend the Narrative Actionable Takeaways FAQ Conclusion...
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China’s Manufacturing Slump: 5-Month PMI Contraction & Global Economic Impactsp

China’s Manufacturing Slump: Unpacking the 5-Month Contraction and What It Means for the Global Economy - Dr.Sanjaykumar Pawar Table of Contents Introduction: Why August PMI Matters Understanding PMI: What It Shows and Why It’s Critical Current Snapshot: August 2025 PMI & Economic Backdrop Key Drivers of the Manufacturing Contraction Weak Domestic Demand U.S.–China Trade Tensions Property Sector Woes Cooling Exports & Shifting Markets Fiscal Strain & Weather Disruptions Non-Manufacturing & Composite PMI: A Silver Lining? Industrial Profits & Lending Trends Labor Market Pressures and Fiscal Challenges Data Visualization Ideas Insights & Outlook: Recovery or Continued Slump? Conclusion: Strategic Implications for Stakeholders FAQs 1. Introduction: Why August PMI Matters China’s official Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in at 49.4 in August 2025 , marking the fifth straight month of contraction . While the figure edged sl...
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Global Bond Market Turmoil: Rising Yields, Debt Pressures & Borrowing Costs Explained

  Global Bond Market Turmoil & Rising Borrowing Costs: A Deep Dive Table of Contents Introduction: Unravelling a Global Bond Crisis Anatomy of the Bond Sell-Off: What’s Driving Yields Up? Japan’s Record Long-Term Yields UK Gilts: A 27-Year High U.S. and Eurozone: Broader Ripples Core Drivers Behind the Surge Data Insights & Market Impacts Consequences Across Markets Governments: Fiscal Strain & Politics Corporates & Equities: Rising Risk Premia Financial Stability & Safe Havens Expert Analysis & Interpretations Visual Summary: Charts & Trends Explained Conclusions & Key Takeaways FAQs (Frequently Asked Questions) 1. Introduction: Unravelling a Global Bond Crisis The global bond market entered a turbulent chapter in September 2025 , rattling investors, governments, and businesses alike. A sharp sell-off in long-term government bonds pushed yields to heights not seen in decades, signaling deeper concerns about global economic s...
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