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A symbolic illustration of the global economy facing uncertainty, reflecting rising public debt, trade fragmentation, and social unrest.(Representing AI image) Uncertainty is the New Normal”: Navigating a Fragile yet Resilient Global Economy  -Dr.Sanjaykumar pawar Table of Contents Introduction: The Era of Enduring Uncertainty What Does “Uncertainty as the New Normal” Mean? Defining Macroeconomic Uncertainty The Drivers: Trade Wars, Debt, Geopolitics, Demographics The IMF’s Message: “Buckle Up” Key Quotes and Warnings from Kristalina Georgieva The Economic Context: Growth, Inflation, and Debt Analyzing the Risks Trade Policy Volatility and Protectionism Sky‑High Public and Private Debt Youth Discontent, Social Unrest, and Political Risk Financial Market Fragilities and Asset Bubbles Climate, Technology, and Structural Shocks Resilience Amid Turbulence: What’s Holding Up Policy Responses and Macroeconomic Buffers Private Sector Adaptation, Diversification ...

  The Reciprocal Tariff Dilemma: Understanding Global Trade Imbalances & Policy Solutions  - Dr. Sanjaykumar Pawar Table of Contents: Introduction: The Challenge of Reciprocal Tariffs What Are Reciprocal Tariffs? A Historical Perspective on U.S. Trade and Tariffs Analyzing the "Fair and Reciprocal Plan" Global Tariff Imbalances: A Close Examination Consequences of Implementing Reciprocal Tariffs Policy Recommendations: Breaking Down Barriers to Trade Insights on Future Global Trade Dynamics FAQs: Understanding the Reciprocal Tariff Dilemma Conclusion: Moving Toward a More Efficient Global Trade System Introduction: The Challenge of Reciprocal Tariffs The world of international trade is complex, marked by the ebb and flow of economic policies, regulations, and market forces. One of the most contentious issues in modern trade negotiations is the concept of reciprocal tariffs . These tariffs, often used as a countermeasure, can have far-reaching consequences f...