Has China Beaten Trump’s Tariffs? What the Latest GDP Growth Data Reveals - Dr.Sanjaykumar Pawar Table of Contents Introduction Understanding the GDP Surprise Historical Context: U.S.-China Trade War Anatomy of China's Growth: What the Numbers Say External Demand vs. Domestic Weakness The Tariff Truce and Its Impact Structural Imbalances: The Core Challenge Can China Rely Less on Exports? Why Stimulus Has Been Tepid (So Far) Future Outlook: Risks and Opportunities Conclusion Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) 1. Introduction China’s latest GDP figures are making waves—and for good reason. According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) , the country posted a 5.4% year-on-year growth in Q1 2025 and 5.2% in Q2 , defying global expectations and breathing fresh life into a long-running debate: Has China successfully weathered the impact of U.S. tariffs introduced during the Trump administration? At first glance, the numbers suggest a strong rebound, hinting that C...
Markets Rally on Fed Rate-Cut Hopes: What Weak U.S. Jobs Data Really Means for Stocks, Bonds, and Your Portfolio - Dr. Sanjay kumar pawar Weak U.S. jobs data sharpened expectations the Federal Reserve will cut rates soon—sending stocks up and bond yields down. This in-depth analysis breaks down the data, explains the market mechanics, shows where opportunities and risks lie, and answers common investor questions. Sources: BLS, Federal Reserve, CME, Reuters, Bloomberg, U.S. Treasury. Table of Contents Executive Summary What Just Happened: The Data That Moved Markets Why “Bad News” Sparked a Rally: The Rate-Cut Transmission Mechanism The Bond Market’s Signal: Yields, Term Premiums, and Duration Equities Playbook: Who Benefits—And Who Doesn’t The Dollar, Credit, and Commodities: Second-Order Effects What the Fed Has Said (and Not Said) Key Charts & Data Table Risks to the Rally: Three Things That Could Upend the Narrative Actionable Takeaways FAQ Conclusion...