Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts with the label Indian exports

How AI Is Reshaping the Global Economy | The New Intelligence Economy

India Defies US Tariffs as Exports Surge in November: What’s Driving the Numbers?

India’s exports surged in November despite US tariffs, driven by currency shifts, sectoral strength, and short-term global trade dynamics. India–US Trade: Why November Exports Jumped 22% Despite Tariffs  - Dr.Sanjaykumar pawar Table of Contents Introduction: A Surprising Export Surge Amid Tariffs Snapshot of India–US Trade in November 2025 Reason 1: Exporters Absorbing Tariffs in Hope of a Trade Deal Reason 2: Diversification Beyond the US—China, Europe, and Asia Reason 3: Base Effect and the Easing of the Red Sea Shock Reason 4: Sectoral Strength—Electronics, Engineering, Pharma The Rupee Factor: Currency Depreciation as a Hidden Tailwind Data Deep Dive: What the Numbers Really Say Is the Export Surge Sustainable? A Reality Check Risks on the Horizon: Tariffs, Competition, and Global Slowdown What India Needs for Durable Export Growth Conclusion: A Tactical Win, Not Yet a Structural Shift Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) Sources and References 1. Introduction: ...

RBI Ready to Act: How 50% U.S. Tariffs & Basel-III Norms Could Shape India’s Growth Outlook in 2025

RBI at the Crossroads: Navigating 50% U.S. Tariffs and Basel-III Rollout—Policy Readiness, Growth Imperatives & Sectoral Resilience  - Dr SanjayKumar Pawar  Table of Contents Introduction: RBI in a Global Storm Understanding the U.S. Tariff Shock Monetary Policy Response: Liquidity, Rates, and Neutral Stance Basel-III Implementation: Strengthening Bank Resilience Sectoral Impact: Who Bears the Brunt? Data, Projections, and Analyst Insights Insights & Perspective: RBI’s Strategic Balancing Act Visual Aids to Clarify Key Concepts Conclusion: Steering Growth in Uncertain Waters FAQ: Common Questions Answered 1. Introduction: RBI in a Global Storm The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) enters August 2025 facing one of its toughest balancing acts in recent years. On one hand, New Delhi is preparing for the impact of a 50% U.S. tariff on Indian goods , a move that threatens to disrupt exports, strain vulnerable sectors like textiles, gems, and MSMEs, and shave grow...

TCS Layoffs: AI Disruption & US Trade Tensions Shake IT Sector

TCS Layoffs: AI Disruption & US Trade Tensions Shake IT Sector  - Dr.SanjayKumar Pawar Table of Contents Introduction TCS Layoffs: A Symptom of Deeper Trouble AI Disruption: Transforming the Indian IT Workforce The Role of US Economic Policy: Fed Rate Standoff and Trade Tariffs Trump’s Tariff Threats and Kremlin Reactions: New Pressure Points Russia-India Trade vs US-India Trade Tensions Indian Apparel and Tech Exports Under Stress Hiring Slowdown and Structural Shifts in Talent Management Sector Outlook: 2025 and Beyond Insights and Implications for India’s Economic Strategy Conclusion FAQ 1. Introduction India’s $250 billion IT industry — once the crown jewel of global outsourcing and consistent economic growth — is now facing a pivotal reckoning. The recent announcement by Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) to lay off 12,000 employees , or 2% of its global workforce, is more than just a corporate move. It's a warning signal. Though positioned as part of a str...

Popular posts from this blog

3 Key Risks That Could End the Market Rally on Fed Rate-Cut Hopes

  Markets Rally on Fed Rate-Cut Hopes: What Weak U.S. Jobs Data Really Means for Stocks, Bonds, and Your Portfolio  - Dr. Sanjay kumar pawar Weak U.S. jobs data sharpened expectations the Federal Reserve will cut rates soon—sending stocks up and bond yields down. This in-depth analysis breaks down the data, explains the market mechanics, shows where opportunities and risks lie, and answers common investor questions. Sources: BLS, Federal Reserve, CME, Reuters, Bloomberg, U.S. Treasury. Table of Contents Executive Summary What Just Happened: The Data That Moved Markets Why “Bad News” Sparked a Rally: The Rate-Cut Transmission Mechanism The Bond Market’s Signal: Yields, Term Premiums, and Duration Equities Playbook: Who Benefits—And Who Doesn’t The Dollar, Credit, and Commodities: Second-Order Effects What the Fed Has Said (and Not Said) Key Charts & Data Table Risks to the Rally: Three Things That Could Upend the Narrative Actionable Takeaways FAQ Conclusion...

China’s Manufacturing Slump: 5-Month PMI Contraction & Global Economic Impactsp

China’s Manufacturing Slump: Unpacking the 5-Month Contraction and What It Means for the Global Economy - Dr.Sanjaykumar Pawar Table of Contents Introduction: Why August PMI Matters Understanding PMI: What It Shows and Why It’s Critical Current Snapshot: August 2025 PMI & Economic Backdrop Key Drivers of the Manufacturing Contraction Weak Domestic Demand U.S.–China Trade Tensions Property Sector Woes Cooling Exports & Shifting Markets Fiscal Strain & Weather Disruptions Non-Manufacturing & Composite PMI: A Silver Lining? Industrial Profits & Lending Trends Labor Market Pressures and Fiscal Challenges Data Visualization Ideas Insights & Outlook: Recovery or Continued Slump? Conclusion: Strategic Implications for Stakeholders FAQs 1. Introduction: Why August PMI Matters China’s official Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in at 49.4 in August 2025 , marking the fifth straight month of contraction . While the figure edged sl...

Global Bond Market Turmoil: Rising Yields, Debt Pressures & Borrowing Costs Explained

  Global Bond Market Turmoil & Rising Borrowing Costs: A Deep Dive Table of Contents Introduction: Unravelling a Global Bond Crisis Anatomy of the Bond Sell-Off: What’s Driving Yields Up? Japan’s Record Long-Term Yields UK Gilts: A 27-Year High U.S. and Eurozone: Broader Ripples Core Drivers Behind the Surge Data Insights & Market Impacts Consequences Across Markets Governments: Fiscal Strain & Politics Corporates & Equities: Rising Risk Premia Financial Stability & Safe Havens Expert Analysis & Interpretations Visual Summary: Charts & Trends Explained Conclusions & Key Takeaways FAQs (Frequently Asked Questions) 1. Introduction: Unravelling a Global Bond Crisis The global bond market entered a turbulent chapter in September 2025 , rattling investors, governments, and businesses alike. A sharp sell-off in long-term government bonds pushed yields to heights not seen in decades, signaling deeper concerns about global economic s...