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How AI Is Reshaping the Global Economy | The New Intelligence Economy

India’s Metal Exports Face 22% Price Cut as EU Carbon Tax CBAM Begins

EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is reshaping global metal trade and challenging India’s steel and aluminium exporters.(Representing ai image) CBAM Explained: How EU’s Carbon Tax Threatens India’s Metal Exports  -Dr. Sanjaykumar Pawar Economic Analyst  Table of Contents Introduction: A Carbon Tax That Redefines Global Trade What Is CBAM? Understanding the World’s First Carbon Border Tax Why January 1 Matters: CBAM Goes Live India–EU Trade Ties and the Importance of Metal Exports Why Indian Metal Exports Are Vulnerable The 15–22% Price Cut Threat: What It Really Means Blast Furnace vs Electric Arc Furnace: A Structural Disadvantage MSMEs at the Frontline of the CBAM Shock Is CBAM About Climate or Commerce? WTO Rules and the CBDR Debate Data Snapshot: Emissions, Trade Exposure, and Cost Impact How Other Countries Are Positioned What Can India Do? Policy and Industry Responses Long-Term Implications for India’s Industrial Strategy Conclusion: Carb...

What Is CBAM? Understanding the World’s First Carbon Border Tax

  CBAM applies a carbon price to imported goods, aligning global trade with climate responsibility.(Representing ai image) What Is CBAM? Understanding the World’s First Carbon Border Tax  - Dr.Sanjaykumar pawar Climate change is no longer just an environmental issue—it is a trade issue, an economic issue, and a global fairness issue. As countries around the world try to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, a big challenge has emerged: how do you enforce strong climate rules without putting your own industries at a disadvantage? The European Union believes it has found an answer in a groundbreaking policy known as the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) . Often described as the world’s first carbon border tax , CBAM is reshaping the relationship between global trade and climate responsibility. This article explains what CBAM is, how it works, which industries it affects, and why it matters —in clear, human-friendly language. 🌍 What Is CBAM? The Carbon Border Adjustment...

India Defies US Tariffs as Exports Surge in November: What’s Driving the Numbers?

India’s exports surged in November despite US tariffs, driven by currency shifts, sectoral strength, and short-term global trade dynamics. India–US Trade: Why November Exports Jumped 22% Despite Tariffs  - Dr.Sanjaykumar pawar Table of Contents Introduction: A Surprising Export Surge Amid Tariffs Snapshot of India–US Trade in November 2025 Reason 1: Exporters Absorbing Tariffs in Hope of a Trade Deal Reason 2: Diversification Beyond the US—China, Europe, and Asia Reason 3: Base Effect and the Easing of the Red Sea Shock Reason 4: Sectoral Strength—Electronics, Engineering, Pharma The Rupee Factor: Currency Depreciation as a Hidden Tailwind Data Deep Dive: What the Numbers Really Say Is the Export Surge Sustainable? A Reality Check Risks on the Horizon: Tariffs, Competition, and Global Slowdown What India Needs for Durable Export Growth Conclusion: A Tactical Win, Not Yet a Structural Shift Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) Sources and References 1. Introduction: ...

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3 Key Risks That Could End the Market Rally on Fed Rate-Cut Hopes

  Markets Rally on Fed Rate-Cut Hopes: What Weak U.S. Jobs Data Really Means for Stocks, Bonds, and Your Portfolio  - Dr. Sanjay kumar pawar Weak U.S. jobs data sharpened expectations the Federal Reserve will cut rates soon—sending stocks up and bond yields down. This in-depth analysis breaks down the data, explains the market mechanics, shows where opportunities and risks lie, and answers common investor questions. Sources: BLS, Federal Reserve, CME, Reuters, Bloomberg, U.S. Treasury. Table of Contents Executive Summary What Just Happened: The Data That Moved Markets Why “Bad News” Sparked a Rally: The Rate-Cut Transmission Mechanism The Bond Market’s Signal: Yields, Term Premiums, and Duration Equities Playbook: Who Benefits—And Who Doesn’t The Dollar, Credit, and Commodities: Second-Order Effects What the Fed Has Said (and Not Said) Key Charts & Data Table Risks to the Rally: Three Things That Could Upend the Narrative Actionable Takeaways FAQ Conclusion...

China’s Manufacturing Slump: 5-Month PMI Contraction & Global Economic Impactsp

China’s Manufacturing Slump: Unpacking the 5-Month Contraction and What It Means for the Global Economy - Dr.Sanjaykumar Pawar Table of Contents Introduction: Why August PMI Matters Understanding PMI: What It Shows and Why It’s Critical Current Snapshot: August 2025 PMI & Economic Backdrop Key Drivers of the Manufacturing Contraction Weak Domestic Demand U.S.–China Trade Tensions Property Sector Woes Cooling Exports & Shifting Markets Fiscal Strain & Weather Disruptions Non-Manufacturing & Composite PMI: A Silver Lining? Industrial Profits & Lending Trends Labor Market Pressures and Fiscal Challenges Data Visualization Ideas Insights & Outlook: Recovery or Continued Slump? Conclusion: Strategic Implications for Stakeholders FAQs 1. Introduction: Why August PMI Matters China’s official Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in at 49.4 in August 2025 , marking the fifth straight month of contraction . While the figure edged sl...

Global Bond Market Turmoil: Rising Yields, Debt Pressures & Borrowing Costs Explained

  Global Bond Market Turmoil & Rising Borrowing Costs: A Deep Dive Table of Contents Introduction: Unravelling a Global Bond Crisis Anatomy of the Bond Sell-Off: What’s Driving Yields Up? Japan’s Record Long-Term Yields UK Gilts: A 27-Year High U.S. and Eurozone: Broader Ripples Core Drivers Behind the Surge Data Insights & Market Impacts Consequences Across Markets Governments: Fiscal Strain & Politics Corporates & Equities: Rising Risk Premia Financial Stability & Safe Havens Expert Analysis & Interpretations Visual Summary: Charts & Trends Explained Conclusions & Key Takeaways FAQs (Frequently Asked Questions) 1. Introduction: Unravelling a Global Bond Crisis The global bond market entered a turbulent chapter in September 2025 , rattling investors, governments, and businesses alike. A sharp sell-off in long-term government bonds pushed yields to heights not seen in decades, signaling deeper concerns about global economic s...