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Do Central Bankers Know Best? Montagu Norman and the BIS

OECD India Outlook 2025 — Growth & Inflation Visuals

OECD India Outlook 2025 — Growth & Inflation Visuals

Comparison: June 2025 forecasts vs September 2025 revisions — visuals using provided OECD figures.

🇮🇳
Design notes: minimalist, OECD-style • blue=growth • green=inflation • orange=risks
Each visual standalone but visually unified.

Visual 1 — India GDP Growth Forecasts (June vs September 2025)

Bar chart (side-by-side). Annotation: OECD raised India’s growth outlook by +40 basis points (bps).
+40 bps

Visual 2 — Inflation Forecast Shift: June → September

Downward arrow: June 2025 forecast 4.1% → September 2025 forecast 2.9% (FY2025-26).

Visual 3 — Sectoral Contribution to Growth (2025)

Pie chart showing indicative breakdown — Domestic demand drives growth momentum.
Note: Net exports are a small drag due to tariffs & weak global trade; domestic demand is the engine (Consumption 57%).

Visual 4 — Risk Matrix: OECD India Outlook 2025

Table with risks, probability, impact and mitigation strategies.
Risk Probability Impact Mitigation Strategy
U.S. Tariffs on Trade High High Export diversification, FTA talks
Global Oil Price Spike Medium High Strategic reserves, renewable push
Global Growth Slowdown Medium Medium Stimulus, domestic demand focus
Climate / Monsoon Shock Low–Medium High Crop insurance, supply management
Design tip: for a presentation slide, this can be converted into a 2×2 impact-probability matrix visual where color intensity = impact.
Data source: OECD forecasts (June 2025 vs September 2025) — values supplied: growth 6.3% → 6.7%, inflation 4.1% → 2.9%.
Prepared with ♥ for quick presentation use

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