Biz Insight Hub IQ – Global Business Economy Analysis

OECD India Outlook 2025 — Growth & Inflation Visuals

Comparison: June 2025 forecasts vs September 2025 revisions — visuals using provided OECD figures.

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Design notes: minimalist, OECD-style • blue=growth • green=inflation • orange=risks

Each visual standalone but visually unified.

Bar chart (side-by-side). Annotation: OECD raised India’s growth outlook by +40 basis points (bps).

+40 bps

Downward arrow: June 2025 forecast 4.1% → September 2025 forecast 2.9% (FY2025-26).

FY2025–26: 4.1% → 2.9%

📉 Food prices down due to strong supply & export curbs

⚡ Fuel costs stable, less global shock

🛒 Inflation expectations easing

Pie chart showing indicative breakdown — Domestic demand drives growth momentum.

Note: Net exports are a small drag due to tariffs & weak global trade; domestic demand is the engine (Consumption 57%).

Table with risks, probability, impact and mitigation strategies.

Risk	Probability	Impact	Mitigation Strategy
U.S. Tariffs on Trade	High	High	Export diversification, FTA talks
Global Oil Price Spike	Medium	High	Strategic reserves, renewable push
Global Growth Slowdown	Medium	Medium	Stimulus, domestic demand focus
Climate / Monsoon Shock	Low–Medium	High	Crop insurance, supply management

Design tip: for a presentation slide, this can be converted into a 2×2 impact-probability matrix visual where color intensity = impact.

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