Biz Insight Hub IQ – Global Business Economy Analysis

OECD India Outlook 2025 — Growth & Inflation Visuals

June 2025 vs September 2025 revisions (OECD data)

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Visual 1 — GDP Growth Forecasts

June 2025: 6.3% | September 2025: 6.7% (+40 bps)

Visual 2 — Inflation Forecast Shift

June 2025: 4.1% → September 2025: 2.9%

FY25–26 Inflation Down

📉 Food prices eased

⚡ Fuel costs stable

🛒 Expectations easing

Visual 3 — Sectoral Contribution (2025)

Consumption 57% | Investment 32% | Govt 10% | Net Exports –1% (drag)

Visual 4 — Risk Outlook

Risk	Probability	Impact	Mitigation
U.S. Tariffs	High	High	Diversification, FTA talks
Oil Price Spike	Medium	High	Reserves, renewables
Global Slowdown	Medium	Medium	Stimulus, demand push
Climate Shock	Low–Med	High	Insurance, supply mgmt

Visual 4b — 2×2 Impact vs Probability Matrix

Data: OECD forecasts (June vs Sept 2025) — Growth 6.3%→6.7%, Inflation 4.1%→2.9%